An FPO can show a surplus on a sale and still struggle to pay farmers if the buyer pays later. A cash-flow forecast answers a practical question: how much usable money will be available on each date? It complements the accounts; it does not replace the profit-and-loss statement or bank reconciliation.
Start from verified available money
Use reconciled bank and cash balances as the opening figure. Identify money restricted to a particular purpose and funds already committed to urgent payments. Do not count an unapproved loan, expected grant or uncollected invoice as cash already available.
NABARD's 2018 FPO accounts handbook is a reference for bookkeeping concepts and financial records. Use current professional advice for tax, filing or loan conditions; older handbook provisions should not be treated as today's rules.
Put receipts and payments on dates
List expected customer receipts against invoice number, agreed due date and a realistic collection date. Separate firm receipts from uncertain sales. Then list member payments, purchases, labour, rent, transport, utilities, statutory dues and loan instalments where applicable. Record who owns each estimate and the evidence behind it.
For a rolling forecast, use weeks for the near term and months for later planning. The calculation is simple: opening usable cash plus receipts minus payments equals closing cash. Carry the closing balance into the next period. Keep financing inflows and repayments visible rather than hiding them inside sales.
Check the low point, not just month end
Consider an illustrative month with ₹100,000 opening cash, ₹120,000 receipts and ₹180,000 payments. Closing cash is ₹40,000. However, if only ₹30,000 arrives before ₹150,000 becomes due, the organisation faces a ₹20,000 temporary gap: ₹100,000 + ₹30,000 − ₹150,000.
The positive month-end figure does not solve that earlier shortfall. Discuss the gap before making new commitments. Options may include collecting an agreed advance, reducing the procurement batch or arranging suitable authorised finance. Do not silently delay member payments or spend restricted funds to make the sheet look balanced.
Run a late-payment scenario
Move the largest buyer receipt one or two forecast periods later, without changing the farmer-payment promise. Add known seasonal costs and any planned equipment payment. Calculate the lowest cash balance and compare it with the organisation's approved minimum buffer.
A forecast with negative cash is useful information, not an accounting failure to hide. Mark the action required, responsible person and decision deadline. If the plan depends on a bank facility, distinguish application, sanction and actual availability; they are different stages.
Review forecast against reality
Each week, replace completed periods with actual receipts and payments. Explain large differences: a buyer paid late, quality deductions reduced a receipt, freight increased or a purchase was postponed. Keep the old forecast version so the board can see whether assumptions are improving.
Use a short dashboard showing current usable cash, payments due soon, overdue receivables, lowest forecast balance and unresolved funding gap. Share only the necessary summary outside the finance team; bank account details and personal payment data need controlled access.
Are sales and receipts the same? No. A sale can be recorded before cash arrives. The forecast needs the expected receipt date.
Should we forecast every day? Use a level of detail that exposes the risk. During concentrated procurement or tight cash periods, daily planning may be more useful than a monthly total.
Who approves the plan? Assign preparation, review and payment authority under the FPO's governance arrangements. One person's spreadsheet should not become permission for an unapproved borrowing or purchase.
Sources & further reading
- NABARD: Handbook on Maintenance of Accounts and Preparation of Financial Statements for FPOs, 2018Source checked: 2026-10-23
Prepared with AI assistance for the CAFIC knowledge series. Examples are illustrative. Check current official requirements and local conditions before acting on regulatory or technical guidance.
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